The Resource Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies, Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National Academies

Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies, Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National Academies

Label
Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies
Title
Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies
Statement of responsibility
Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National Academies
Creator
Subject
Language
eng
Summary
"Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR & E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation."--Publisher's description
Cataloging source
E7B
Dewey number
601/.12
Illustrations
illustrations
Index
no index present
LC call number
T174
LC item number
.N38 2010eb
Literary form
non fiction
Nature of contents
  • dictionaries
  • bibliography
Label
Persistent forecasting of disruptive technologies, Committee on Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies, Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, National Research Council of the National Academies
Publication
Bibliography note
Includes bibliographical references
http://library.link/vocab/branchCode
  • net
Carrier category
online resource
Carrier category code
cr
Carrier MARC source
rdacarrier
Color
multicolored
Content category
text
Content type code
txt
Content type MARC source
rdacontent
Contents
Need for persistent long-term forecasting of disruptive technologies -- Existing technology forecasting methodologies -- The nature of disruptive technologies -- Reducing forecasting ignorance and bias -- Ideal attributes of a disruptive technology forecasting system -- Evaluating existing persistent forecasting systems -- Conclusion
Control code
ocn649902796
Dimensions
unknown
Extent
1 online resource (xvi, 119 pages)
Form of item
online
Isbn
9780309116619
Media category
computer
Media MARC source
rdamedia
Media type code
c
Other control number
9786612554612
Other physical details
color illustrations
http://library.link/vocab/ext/overdrive/overdriveId
255461
http://library.link/vocab/recordID
.b35960589
Specific material designation
remote
System control number
  • (OCoLC)649902796
  • pebcs0309116619

Library Locations

    • Deakin University Library - Geelong Waurn Ponds CampusBorrow it
      75 Pigdons Road, Waurn Ponds, Victoria, 3216, AU
      -38.195656 144.304955
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